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Publisert: 7.01.2020 | Oppdatert: 2.05.2025
The expert voiced the Ukrainian strategy
for Food Security. Modern technologies without alternative
Food
Security is a system of global and local actions and strategies aimed at
providing people with sufficient quality food. Food Security present as
national and global (World). National Food Security is dependent with Global
Food Security,
strategy and policy,
as it is an integral part of it.
Dr.
Oleksii Orlov, a leading expert of Agriculture, Food Production and Modern
Technologies in the Agricultural business, shared most important strategy
The human population of the Planet is steadily
growing and the demand for quality products is increasing.
It is interesting to see what goals and objectives are seen by the international expert in enhancing the Food Security of not only
for Ukraine
and Europe, but also for the World. Moreover, it is quite possible to realize
these possible goals, since Ukraine already now is not only among the few
countries that are World leaders in food exports, but also has a huge
potential for increasing the export size of excellent food products.
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So, the
Ukrainian
Food Security,
by points:
Working in war - how to reduce
risks and prevent global hunger?
How will the war affect
the
global food problem? A significant increase
in prices (20-50%) for food in the world, due to rising prices for fossil
fuels and fertilizers, has already occurred, plus the increase in prices due
to the war in Ukraine.
On the photo - in 2022, in the Kharkiv
region, a Russian plane fired on a tractor working in the field
How does the war in Ukraine and Russia
affect food production in the World? A slight decrease in grain production
in Ukraine is expected, by 10-30%, as well as a very significant increase in
prices! As of 2022, direct military strikes did not significantly affect the
total grain production in Ukraine, but created difficulties in operational
activities and increased costs.
As of 2025, grain production in
Ukraine has
decreased by 20-40% due to a decrease in sown areas.
Mining of fields - complicates or makes
it impossible to work in the field. In the photo - a tractor exploded on a
mine in the Kyiv region шт 2022
Rising food prices will
have a very strong impact on poor countries dependent on food imports,
including countries in Africa and especially the Russian Federation.
Despite the war, Ukraine
has already sown 70-85% of its acreage! It is difficult to estimate how the
war will affect the total agricultural production and total food exports.
Due to the blocking of
exports via the Black Sea by the russian federation, there were problems
with grain exports. And in mid-2022, even a large part of the harvest was
not sold...
Despite the difficulties
with operational activities: direct military strikes, mining of fields, lack
of funding, the collapse of agricultural holdings, difficulties in logistics,
communication disruptions, outflow of labor, an increase in the cost of
resources - in general, the forecasts for Ukrainian farmers are favorable!
Occupied mainly regions where agriculture is low-productive - southern and
eastern arid regions. Their contribution to the total gross production is
small.
At the photo
- the russian flagman ship Moscow vs the Ukrainian
rocket Neptune. The cruiser sank after two hits by a Neptune missile
We wrote that in 2022,
the main problem was lifting the naval blockade of exports from Ukraine.
In 2022, we predicted that:
"How does the
war in Ukraine affect the global food problem?
If military
measures are not taken quickly and grain exports are not unblocked, the war
in Ukraine could lead to a strong global increase in food prices, expected
by 200-400%. The prospects for unblocking by military means are very high,
most likely this will happen in the near future by sinking the Russian
fleet."
In 2025, we can confidently say that our forecasts came
true: exports were unblocked by sinking the Russian fleet, and there was no
strong increase in food prices!
Also before the war, the Ukrainian government accepted all our
recommendations on strategic reserves and state reserves and everything went
well. Including, thanks to the speech on national television.
What are the challenges and prospects for the agricultural sector of Ukraine
from 2025?
The end of military
strikes on the Russian navy is the main challenge for grain logistics in
Ukraine. The end of the blockade of the Russian fleet is the main threat to
grain exports! As well as the lifting of sanctions against the russian
federation.
If the sanctions are
reduced or lifted, and the strikes on the russian fleet are stopped, this
will lead to large losses in grain exports from Ukraine or to the cessation
of sea exports.
The prospects for the development of the agricultural
sector in Ukraine are surprisingly good. Despite military actions, the
efficiency of farmers' work is growing, and investments in the
agro-industrial complex have grown significantly. At the same time, small
and medium farmers received support, and this is the most important segment
of agricultural production in Ukraine!
Ukraine will join the EU, and
this will open up good prospects for additional investments, open sales
markets and increase the efficiency of work even more!
But the
prospects for the Russian agricultural market are rather sad, due to the
strengthening of sanctions, military actions, a sharp reduction in
investment, lack of training, a reduction in the number of workers due to
mobilization, and a possible post-war collapse of the industry!
Also,
companies from other countries that have economic relations with the Russian
Federation may suffer.
Thus, the war with the Russian
Federation has presented new requirements for the work of the agricultural
business. But despite the war, everyone is doing their job: "War is war, but
we must sow!"
Work at
time of a viral pandemic
Various
pandemics, for example
the coronavirus
covid-19 made new requirements and challenges to the agricultural and food
business:
-
Enhancing biosafety in food production and in the agricultural business
-
Strengthened health requirements for staff and workers, health control
-
Strengthening the requirements of biological protection and
counteracting viral contamination during the logistics and sale of food
-
Development of measures to improve agricultural logistics and food
availability in the context of movement and quarantine restrictions
-
Automation and robotization of
agricultural production, processing, logistics and packaging of finished
products
-
Planning and development of
new projects taking into account the
requirements for enhanced biological safety
-
Work
and process control in online, provision of services in
Agribusiness Consulting and Agrarian
business online technologies
Private
ownership for land, as in the richest countries in Europe, in British
Commonwealth of Nations and in United States
Photo source:
Tri-State Livestock News
Without options and fantasies about the
"moratorium" that some Ukrainian politicians like to talk about. Private
property is the basis of the World economy and stability. As well as the
opportunity for farmers business to attract additional loans, and for
pensioners living in rural areas is a good opportunity to sell land and
get excellent income, exceeding the amount of annual land rent by 7-10
times. We already know the hard way how it ends when many old people
living in villages and without relatives die and cannot see this money.
And private ownership of land it is reliable and secure. And a good
signal to the whole World!
Permission
for keep and owning automatic firearms for farmers and private persons
Weapons are
essential to protect property,
family
and Freedom!
It is also a necessary condition for a free, prosperous, strong
democratic State!
The
introduction of protective duties for the export of unprocessed raw
materials - grains, oilseeds, sunflower, soybeans
Photo
©
Dr. Oleksii Orlov
This will lead to the fact that large
exporters invest and build processing facilities in Ukraine, and will
export products with higher added value. And they will not export raw
materials from Ukraine, which has a low price. Thus, new jobs will be
created, and the amount of money remaining in Ukraine will increase.
Farmers will also get more money, because processing companies pay more
for grain than exporters. This will lead to an increase in wealth.
Investments in modern logistics - by roads and by water
Ukraine has a
unique and strategically important location, which provides advantages
in export and logistics. Not many countries in the World have such
advantages. This item is very
important to ensure food security.
It is impossible to breed corruption
due to bans on the movement of grain carriers trains by the roads, and
can not penalize farmers and exporters for large trucks - grain trains
on the roads. These trucks make money for the country. It is necessary
to build modern ports and good, durable roads from modern concrete,
designed for such trucks - both in Australia and the USA - in countries
with the most advanced agrarian logistics in the World, and that
providing the World with food.
Photo source:
Kordsa
The construction of concrete roads is
perpetual roads without repair and high costs for their operation and
the absence of corruption,
so the costs of repair
and maintenance of such roads are practically absent or minimal.
And also - this is a significant reduction in the cost of transporting
grain.
Reduction to
a minimum of state regulation of the agrarian business in Ukraine
In its
current form, from the Ministry of Agriculture and other structures
involved in the regulation of the agrarian sector is more harm than
good. This is a factor hindering the increasing in the area of
production of quality food in Ukraine. Using online systems for state
environmental control and biosafety in animal and poultry industry.
Demonopolization, in particular in the ethanol industry
Monopolies are a brake on
economic development. Monopolies lead to a strong decline in product quality
and overpriced, which we now see in the alcohol industry. Producers of
alcohol cannot buy quality ethanol. Every farmer must have the right to
produce ethanol. Ethanol can be used as fuel for cars. For example, in
Brazil, most cars are filled with ethanol. Demonopolization
- it
is progress!
Prohibition of mixed fodder antibiotics
Antibiotics now widely used in
poultry, animal and fish products industry. Control of mycotoxins in
food. Do not want
to die from an unknown bacterial infection resistant to antibiotics.
This is the basis of the biosafety of the state and each person.
Promotion for farmers and farmers at the state level of the most
important scientific achievements and technologies that will improve the
quality of products, increasing production and will effectively counter
climate change
It
is important for food security:
protection of climate change, adherence
to
modern technologies, energy efficiency,
green energy, soil
protection, environmental protection, reducing greenhouse gas emissions,
creating forest belts,
CTF, soil protection technologies, innovative
agrochemistry,
GMO crops and modern genetics,
energy efficient
machinery, and others.
Agrarian
education
Photo
©
Dr. Oleksii Orlov
Everyone
knows that any good Ukrainian farmer will give the odds to any professor from an
agricultural university by the level of his practical agricultural
knowledge. It should be the other way around. Agrarian education reform
is needed - the transformation from theoretical to practical.
Photo
©
Dr. Oleksii Orlov
Development and promotion of Agricultural Consulting at the state level
Often, farmers get
a small stable income and do not want to change anything. The same
applies to the state. The task of
Agricultural Consulting is to advise
the state and promote innovations to farmers, to increasing the
profitability of the farming business and to increase the efficiency of
agriculture as a whole.
Available financing
Without financing, progress in the
agrarian business is impossible. Poor technical support, in most cases,
is a consequence of the fact that it is practically impossible for a
farmer to take a loan from a bank. As well as the current loan price of
45-50%, this is a very heavy amount. And for farmers in eastern Ukraine,
thanks to the order of the National Bank of Ukraine, obtaining a bank
loan is not possible at all.
Reducing
tax pressure on farmers
It is no secret that the latest changes to the Tax
Code were adopted without any calculations. How was it possible to tax
for farmers with an additional tax of 20% (VAT), with an average
profitability of agricultural business of 24%? It is no secret that the
work of the harvester and the miner is the hardest. Who will be very
hard to work - in the heat and in the cold, in dust and mud - for 4%?
Therefore, the entire agricultural business and left "in the shade" -
and grain producers and exporters. Since they have no way out - farmers,
if they do not sell grain for cash, they will go bankrupt. Therefore,
they sell grain for “cash”, and exporters buy it for “cash”. So by bank
transfer to buy good grain is unrealistic. This very much breeds
corruption and corruption is very happy with this tax, as it gives the
opportunity to receive "kickbacks" from both farmers and exporters.
Technical re-equipment of agrarian business and processing industry,
introduction of modern technologies - automation, energy efficiency,
CTF, online remote control of resources, Precision Farming, RAS, PFF,
IPM, SDI, Strip-Till & No-Till, and others
Progress is our friend, which allows the
farmer to obtain additional income and increase the production of
high-quality food for the state.
Development of livestock, greenhouses, horticulture and vegetable
growing, as well as storage and processing industry
This is a very high additional profit, both for the farmer and for the
state as a whole.
The Blue
Revolution
We live in an era when high technology allows us to grow
food not only on land, but also in the sea.
The development of
aquaculture and aquaponics will double food production.
Green
Energy. Using green energy is 4-6 times cheaper than gas
(with oil prices above $40)!
Even with the sharp drop in oil
and gas prices observed in 2020, the profitability of using
green energy is 2-3 times higher!
Moreover, if each
farmer uses his own capacities for energy production, this will destroy the
monopolism and corruption of large corporations, which is very good for the
economy!
Stimulating the development of innovative green energy. Although this is
opposed by the corrupt energy lobby, it is a sin not to develop green
energy. And no one needs to say that energy security is the security of
the state. For example, in Britain, green energy has already become more
profitable than the traditional one. And wages in this sector are
already much higher there. Green energy is great and necessary. Since in
the 2020s - the era of oil will come to an end, we must be ready for
this!
Integration with the European agricultural ad food market, the earliest
granting Ukraine membership in the EU
This will give additional markets,
investments, technology and cheap loans for progressive farmers.
Significant increase in Western investment in the agrarian sector of
Ukraine
An
important emphasis it is open way for
investments that correlates well with all the previous points. We
need guarantees of the inviolability of private property, stable tax
rules for agribusiness and a reduction in the number of regulatory
bodies. There is no need to reinvent the bicycle - need to do everything
according to ready-made western drawings.
This Program is very important and positive. But the top of naivety is to
think that everything is organized by itself. It is necessary to support,
promote and develop all points of this Program - this will give impulse to
the development of agriculture and ensure the food security of the state.
Thanks to the introduction of innovations, it is possible to increase food
production in Ukraine by 4-5 times, in comparison with the current level!
Food security is the basis of the State's development!
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